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April 26, 2009

Signs of Recovery ?

Filed under: Forex News — Tags: , , — forextutorialcom @ 1:35 pm

Less than expected decline in the Durable Goods Orders along with higher than projected new home sales added to optimism of a possible bottom in the economic downturn. U.S. New Home Sales fell 0.6% in March from 358,000 to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 356,000. Nonetheless, overabundance of unsold new homes and competition from foreclosed properties situated a 12% drop in the median sales price from a year earlier to $201,400.

Durable Goods Orders fell -0.8% in March slightly better than expected -1.5%. The latest figure suggests that manufacturing sector continues to slump as orders shrank for the ninth month over the span of a year. Nevertheless, a key measurement of future activity, capital spending rose for the second consecutive month by 1.5% suggesting of a possible turnaround in the not too distant future. Although the figures remain in the contracting territory, signs of a bottoming in the economy started to emerge. Markets took the news as a positive indication of a future turnaround in the U.S. economy as risk appetite returned, advancing equities and putting pressure on the Dollar.

The U.S. Dollar weakened considerably against other major counterparts, yet remained unchanged against the Pound as U.K. economy contracted by bigger than anticipated margin. EUR/USD soared on the day before stalling the advance at 1.3300 level. The pair rose for the fourth consecutive day as signs of bottoming in the global recession started to manifest. Nonetheless, a key area of resistance at 1.3500 renders on being the next level to be tested and unlikely to be surpassed unless the markets observe some positive news from the Euro-zone.

April 13, 2009

Euro Pares Gains Around Midday From Session Highs

Filed under: Forex News — Tags: , — forextutorialcom @ 1:12 pm

body { margin-top: 4px; margin-left: 2px; margin-right: 2px; margin-bottom: 4px; } p { font-size : 10pt; font-family : Arial; margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px; } pre { font-size : 8pt; font-family : “Courier New”, Courier, monospace; margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px; }NEW YORK (Dow Jones)–The euro retraced a portion of its earlier gains against the dollar and yen after traders took profits on its quick rally into Monday afternoon in holiday-thinned trade.

Thin trading conditions often result in a volatile market, with fewer traders able to steer market direction.

Much of Europe is on holiday this week after Easter.

In addition, sentiment on the euro-dollar pair has been ephemeral and position-taking sparse on equally uncertain economic outlooks for both the euro zone and U.S., leading the pair to rebound back and forth inside a range without any clear direction yet.

The release of several key company earnings reports for the first quarter this week will play a large role in determining the near-term future of this relationship.

Monday afternoon, the euro was at $1.3348 from a session high of $1.3380 and from $1.3142 late Friday. The dollar was at Y100.14 from Y100.38, according to EBS. The euro was at Y133.65 from a session high of Y133.95 and from Y131.95. The U.K. pound was at $1.4830. Data was unavailable Friday due to the Easter holiday. The dollar was at CHF1.1353 from CHF1.1579.

The common currency had peaked around London fixing time, reversing the losses incurred at the close of the previous week.

The dollar was also sold off against the yen as the Dow Jones Industrial Average slumped and on concerns that China won’t have the ability to buy up U.S. debt to the extent the U.S. government may be relying upon.

The dollar fell to an intraday low of Y100.05.

The euro’s rebound Monday comes after a rise in the Australian dollar, another risk-positive currency, that has been rallying for more than a month. Besides technical positioning, the Aussie dollar was also aided by a report that showed Chinese lending rose to a record high in March.

It advanced to its highest level since October 2008, $0.7293.

China’s broadest measure of money supply, M2, surged 25.51% at the end of March from a year earlier as new yuan loans hit a new monthly record high, government data showed Saturday.

China’s central bank on Sunday said it would ensure there was enough credit to meet the needs of the economy. While the PBOC said it was sticking to a moderately loose monetary policy, it wants the credit to go to the right sectors and said it would control loans going to the wrong ones.

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